2025 U.S. Open expert picks, bets, odds, sleepers: Golf insider avoiding Rory McIlroy at Oakmont Country Club


Bryson DeChambeau continues to be a consistent presence at the top of the leaderboard on the final day of majors. DeChambeau most recently finished second at the PGA Championship for the second straight year and enters the U.S. Open 2025 as the defending champion. The 31-year-old missed the cut at last year’s Open Championship, but he’s finished in the top six in his other five majors since the start of 2024. DeChambeau, with his booming ability to drive a ball down a fairway, is often a common play for online sports betting given his popularity, especially among younger golf fans, so how should he factor into your 2025 U.S. Open betting strategy? The 2025 U.S. Open begins on Thursday at Oakmont Country Club in the suburbs of Pittsburgh.

DeChambeau will try to be the first back-to-back U.S. Open winner since Brooks Koepka in 2017 and 2018 and he’s 9-1 in the latest 2025 U.S. Open odds. The only golfers in the 2025 U.S. Open field with shorter odds than him have a major championship this year, Scottie Scheffler (+320) and Rory McIlroy (+550). Before making any 2025 U.S. Open picks, you need to see the 2025 U.S. Open predictions and best bets from golf insider Sia Nejad.

Nejad specializes in betting and DFS in golf, among other sports. He’s had incredible success in the outright and first-round leader markets and in betting head-to-head matchups. He also has been solid with his head-to-head matchups since the 2023 Charles Schwab Challenge, going 52-37-5 and returning 11.67 units over that span. That’s a $1,167 profit for $100 bettors since May 2023.

Nejad also nailed Wyndham Clark, a +7500 longshot, as the outright winner at the Wells Fargo Championship 2023. That year, SportsLine debuted “The Early Wedge,” and in the first three months of the show, he hit two first-round leaders and three outright winners. Anyone who has followed its sports betting picks could have seen massive returns on betting sites and for anyone taking advantage of the latest FanDuel promo codeDraftKings promo code and Fanatics Sportsbook promo code, just to name a few.

Now, Nejad has turned his attention to the 2025 U.S. Open field and locked in his best bets, top 2025 U.S. Open sleeper picks and favorites to avoid for anyone deciding how to bet on the U.S. Open. See who they are at SportsLine.

Top 2025 U.S. Open expert picks

One surprise: Nejad is fading Rory McIlroy, even though he is the newest grand slam champion and is a two-time PGA Championship winner. McIlroy snapped a 10-year drought with his Masters victory in April, but in his first major tournament since finally capturing the green jacket and winning his first major since 2014, his major struggles re-emerged as he finished T47 at the PGA Championship. McIlroy has performed well compared to his peers with six straight top-10 finishes at the U.S. Open, but this tournament will bring painful memories from last year when he missed two putts inside five feet over the final three holes to finish in second place by one stroke.

The Masters victory is certainly a relief from McIlroy, but it won’t remove the pain of letting a major title slip away. Those memories and attention around it could also become a distraction. McIlroy missed the cut at the 2016 U.S. Open in his only tournament at Oakmont Country Club, which started a streak of three straight missed cuts at the U.S. Open. Given that McIlroy has won only one major in the last 10-and-a-half years, Nejad doesn’t see value in McIlroy at his price for 2025 U.S. Open bets. See who to back here

How to make 2025 U.S. Open picks, bets

Nejad has locked in his 2025 U.S. Open best bets, including a double-digit longshot who has been crushing in strokes gained. Anyone who backs him could hit it big. You can only see the picks at SportsLine.

So, which players should you target for the U.S. Open, and which golfer could bring a huge payday of more than 10-1? Check out the 2025 U.S. Open odds below, then visit SportsLine to see Sia Nejad’s top picks for the 2025 U.S. Open, all from the expert who has returned $1,167 for $100 bettors.

2025 U.S. Open odds, favorites 

Get full 2025 U.S. Open picks, best bets, and predictions here

Scottie Scheffler +320
Rory McIlroy +550
Bryson DeChambeau +900
Jon Rahm +1200
Xander Schauffele +1700
Ludvig Aberg +1800
Collin Morikawa +2200
Viktor Hovland +2600
Justin Thomas +3300
Brooks Koepka +3300
Tommy Fleetwood +3300
Shane Lowry +3600
Sungjae Im +4100
Matt Fitzpatrick +4100
Hideki Matsuyama +4100
Adam Scott +4100
Patrick Cantlay +4200
Tyrrell Hatton +5000
Min Woo Lee +5000
Sam Burns +5000
Justin Rose +5000
Tony Finau +5000
Cam Smith +5000
Wyndham Clark +5000
Tom Kim +6000
Corey Conners +6000
Si Woo Kim +6500
Russell Henley +6500
Sepp Straka +6500
Jordan Spieth +6500
Jason Day +6500
Brian Harman +8000
Max Homa +8000
Dustin Johnson +8000
Byeong Hun An +8000
Will Zalatoris +8000
Cameron Young +8000
Sahith Theegala +8000
Daniel Berger +9000
Christiaan Bezuidenhout +10000
Sergio Garcia +10000
Nick Dunlap +10000
Dean Burmester +10000
Akshay Bhatia +10000
Robert MacIntyre +10000
Alex Noren +10000
Keegan Bradley +10000
Ryan Fox +12000
Billy Horschel +12000
Davis Thompson +12000
Aaron Rai +12000
Rickie Fowler +12000
Nicolai Hojgaard +12000
Adam Hadwin +12000
Harris English +12000
J.T. Poston +15000
Victor Perez +15000
Kurt Kitayama +15000
Mackenzie Hughes +15000
Austin Eckroat +15000
Tom Hoge +15000
Erik van Rooyen +15000
Taylor Pendrith +15000
Adrian Meronk +15000
Denny McCarthy +15000
Matthieu Pavon +15000





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